Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 782.769877 887.038546 1005.048866 1149.543707 1323.121998 1526.753410 1786.442425
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 642.439189 776.994733 943.575369 1168.916351 1472.129857 1875.719765 2471.111981
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 573.883426 720.207744 911.007203 1185.059074 1581.051029 2153.932814 3089.854396
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 510.283608 659.413834 862.141759 1168.076024 1637.722571 2368.910854 3681.433505
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 473.730496 628.070495 845.761562 1189.311303 1747.253228 2679.436864 4518.941792
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 448.264526 608.484125 842.345892 1227.423744 1888.040494 3072.924606 5655.978189
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 421.291945 583.141822 826.244849 1241.274097 1988.103830 3415.798763 6833.622066
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 392.577616 552.088299 797.364981 1228.895674 2037.560373 3671.886669 7932.029739
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 374.640038 535.653960 789.418651 1250.433007 2153.267749 4094.735958 9682.722711
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 347.421736 502.260021 750.367424 1211.053738 2141.196041 4231.377759 10703.778782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 324.755428 474.386426 717.922950 1179.621424 2139.664517 4392.540660 11907.945248
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 302.616921 445.805559 681.858819 1137.131998 2107.443728 4470.068090 12885.423386
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 294.788347 441.015299 687.790944 1179.138758 2276.042702 5143.900529 16801.733720
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 284.441382 431.302015 684.306572 1202.566068 2409.418693 5782.679846 21425.267657
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 274.044839 420.546554 677.633486 1217.995556 2526.338445 6423.111783 27064.634536
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 260.293172 402.994999 656.868570 1200.889652 2557.805990 6804.960212 31915.271226
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 252.574781 395.482867 654.225432 1222.724929 2697.156504 7631.836821 41782.184926
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 247.442910 392.178825 659.254591 1262.361111 2896.186267 8802.998079 58553.049141
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 239.846015 383.849888 653.667431 1276.708597 3026.588298 9784.883114 78137.745696
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 229.994126 370.747043 637.495078 1263.869811 3072.247754 10427.283806 97247.049280
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 224.324791 365.072164 635.874812 1286.225919 3235.467456 11757.789050 139042.124829
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 213.068030 348.236465 610.079126 1245.346428 3182.348903 11943.522072 159391.589752
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 203.322860 333.804282 588.384668 1212.726347 3151.618225 12250.066895 187834.729904